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Why I bought Bitcoin and how I immediately lost money on it

Financial Block Staff

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Why I bought Bitcoin and how I immediately lost money on it

I’m a bit rubbish. I bought Bitcoin last week and managed to get my purchase in just before it falls.

Look at this table. I bought at the golden circle. I couldn’t have done worse. Bitcoin is down from $67,390 when I bought at $64,181 currently, a loss of 5%. Ugh.

This year there have been 349 days and people who bought Bitcoin on 343 of those days are richer than when they started. If you bought Bitcoin in January, you probably bought yourself a Mercedes for Christmas. Not me. As mentioned, I’m a bit rubbish.

But it’s not over yet. I’m going to hold on to my bitcoins for a while longer and see if they come back up. For what? Because another time it worked for me.

Cryptocurrency

Cryptocurrency

The history of my cryptocurrency purchases is full of false starts and embarrassing failures, interspersed with a single purchase that made me a lot of money (maybe not a lot for you, but for me). It was 2020. I invested $15,000 in Bitcoin in May and withdrew $45,000 in early January 2021.

It was extremely exciting to sell and pocket the money. But of course I immediately felt sorry for the seller.

Because after I sold it went up again. So much more. I tripled my money, but I could have multiplied it by six if I had just been a little more patient.

The following table shows what I did. I bought in 2019, rode a wave, and sold again five months later, making a minor gain (I only had a fraction of a coin). Then I bought back for more than I sold for (this turns out to be a trend).

What happened next ? I sold too soon. After selling, Bitcoin rose significantly. I got sick. Of course, in late 2022 there was a brief period where I felt relief because Bitcoin was below the price I sold it for in 2021. I didn’t buy at that time . However, now I’m buying again. After he went up.

CryptocurrencyCryptocurrency

Cryptocurrency

The table above is a slight simplification. Several purchases were spread over a few days, as were the sales. I averaged them. I also bought and sold Ethereum at the same time as I bought and sold Bitcoin. And in 2019, I diversified into other altcoins, making losses.

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I paid $653 in trading fees. I said I was an asshole.

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This is the big mistake that individual traders make when they “play” the stock market: trading too much. This is actually the big advantage that professionals have. On average, professionals cannot beat the index, but individuals can easily lose to the index by making mistakes in buying and selling and incurring too many costs.

Patience is the key to investing and I don’t have it. I don’t “hold” it. However, you have to participate to win it, so I’m joining again.

Is it too late to ask what Bitcoin really is?

Good question. The fact is that computer code is very easy to copy, so it should not be possible to make a transaction using computer code as payment. But Bitcoin is a system that allows you to make a transaction using computer code as payment. It ensures that each bit of code is used once and when it is spent, it is spent.

If you think about, uh, my online banking account is kind of like that, right? You’re right. The only difference is that Bitcoin updates itself without the need for a trusted banker responsible for keeping track of who owns what money. Bitcoin has no employees, the system runs on code base (plus incentives that get people to contribute to crypto by paying them in bitcoin. This aspect is called “mining”). In my opinion, not having employees is not a fatal advantage, but for certain types of people, not having to trust a banker is very important.

If you also think, does anyone really use Bitcoin to buy things? Few people do it. It was designed and intended as a currency. But it has become an asset. It’s more gold than cash. It has value but is not often used for spending purposes.

And if you think, but at least gold is useful? I have to agree again. I’m not really here to defend Bitcoin. I’m interested in it opportunistically, not as a true believer.

In my opinion, the long-term usefulness of Bitcoin is probably zero. Does this mean its value will be zero? Probably… but not necessarily! Its value seems to depend on its worth. When the price increases, people want to pay to buy it, in the hope that the price will increase further.

In the very long term, there is the possibility that Bitcoin will be a mere useless trinket, just a memento of a time when the Internet was a simpler place, and nonetheless worth a fortune. I’m not betting on it, I’m guessing it will go up a bit now and crash later. But it’s possible!

Certainly, in the medium term, before its practical value is proven to be zero, it is possible that great bursts of enthusiasm for Bitcoin will cause its price to rise. We’ve seen a few of these in the past. I bet we could be at the start of another one. Although, as I revealed, my record is mixed.

Is Bitcoin gambling rigged?

Highligths. If you play crypto and think the market isn’t rigged, you’re crazy. All kinds of practices that are not legal in the stock markets are allowed. The concentration of crypto is extreme. A handful of accounts own most of the Bitcoins. Large miners and others have a huge interest in manipulating the market. But above all, they have an interest in raising it.

Are there any logical reasons to enter the Bitcoin market?

It’s a risky bet. But the logical reason why I said I bought Bitcoin is to take into account a few factors that increase demand and one factor that reduces supply.

  1. The first demand factor is the prospect of an exchange-traded fund being created in bitcoin in 2024. If you could buy it on the stock market like all other stocks, it would create new demand for Bitcoin and also give it legitimacy.

  2. The second demand factor is the aging of the population. Young people are more open to cryptocurrencies than older people, and as they age, they control more wealth. If nerds who were 100% into Bitcoin in 2012 are 10% into Bitcoin in 2032, but normal people who were 0% invested in Bitcoin in 2012 are 0.1% invested in Bitcoin in 2032, that’s a lot of money to try. to get into Bitcoin.

  3. The first supply factor is halving. New Bitcoins come from mining (which is the reward people receive for contributing to the cryptography that makes Bitcoin work). Every four years, the system halves the mining reward. This has already happened in 2012, 2016 and 2020. Currently, 936 Bitcoins are distributed to miners every day (some of which are sold to recoup their exorbitant electricity costs). After April 2024, the number of bitcoins dispersed each day will drop to 468. The supply of new bitcoins is decreasing and we are getting closer to the day when all bitcoins will already be mined. There will be 21 million in total, and around 19 million are already mined.

The price seems high, at AU$63,000, but it’s impossible to say what a fair price is. In reality, a large portion of Bitcoins are never traded and may be lost to their owners. Liquid supply is not high.

Bitcoin is rare. Many people don’t own Bitcoin and only a few do. In times of high demand, prices can skyrocket. We’ve seen it many times before. Suckers like me are out there, experiencing FOMO, and looking for an opportunity to buy, even if they buy high. Anything can happen from here.

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We are the editorial team of Financial Block, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Financial Block, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin soars above $63,000 as money flows into new US investment products

Financial Block Staff

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Bitcoin Surpasses $63,000 as Money Flows into New US Investment Products

Bitcoin has surpassed the $63,000 mark for the first time since November 2021. (Chesnot via Getty Images)

Bitcoin has broken above the $63,000 (£49,745) mark for the first time since November 2021, when the digital asset hit its all-time high of over $68,000.

Over the past 24 hours, the value of the largest digital asset by market capitalization has increased by more than 8% to trade at $63,108, at the time of writing.

Learn more: Live Cryptocurrency Prices

The price appreciation was fueled by record inflows into several U.S.-based bitcoin cash exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which were approved in January this year.

A Bitcoin spot ETF is a financial product that investors believe will pave the way for an influx of traditional capital into the cryptocurrency market. Currently, indications are favorable, with fund managers such as BlackRock (BLK) and Franklin Templeton (BEN), after allocating a record $673 million into spot Bitcoin ETFs on Wednesday.

Learn more: Bitcoin’s Success With SEC Fuels Expectations for an Ether Spot ETF

The record allocation surpassed the funds’ first day of launch, when inflows totaled $655 million. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (I BITE) alone attracted a record $612 million yesterday.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

Earlier this week, veteran investor Peter Brandt said that bitcoin could peak at $200,000 by September 2025. “With the push above the upper boundary of the 15-month channel, the target for the current market bull cycle, which is expected to end in August/September 2025, is raised from $120,000 to $200,000,” Brandt said. published on X.

The influx of capital from the traditional financial sphere into Bitcoin spot ETFs is acting as a major price catalyst for the digital asset, but it is not the only one. The consensus among analysts is that the upcoming “bitcoin halving” could continue to drive flows into the bitcoin market.

The Bitcoin halving is an event that occurs roughly every four years and is expected to happen again next April. The halving will reduce the bitcoin reward that miners receive for validating blocks on the blockchain from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This could lead to a supply crunch for the digital asset, which could lead to price appreciation.

The story continues

Watch: Bitcoin ETFs set to attract funds from US pension plans, says Standard Chartered analyst | Future Focus

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FRA Strengthens Cryptocurrency Practice with New Director Thomas Hyun

Financial Block Staff

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International Accounting Bulletin

Forensic Risk Alliance (FRA), an independent consultancy specializing in regulatory investigations, compliance and litigation, has welcomed U.S.-based cryptocurrency specialist Thomas Hyun as a director of the firm’s global cryptocurrency investigations and compliance practice. Hyun brings to the firm years of experience building and leading anti-money laundering (AML) compliance programs, including emerging payment technologies in the blockchain and digital asset ecosystem.

Hyun has nearly 15 years of experience as a compliance officer. Prior to joining FRA, he served as Director of AML and Blockchain Strategy at PayPal for four years. He established PayPal’s financial crime policy and control framework for its cryptocurrency-related products, including PayPal’s first consumer-facing cryptocurrency offering on PayPal and Venmo, as well as PayPal’s branded stablecoin.

At PayPal, Hyun oversaw the second-line AML program for the cryptocurrency business. His responsibilities included drafting financial crime policies supporting the cryptocurrency business, establishing governance and escalation processes for high-risk partners, providing credible challenge and oversight of front-line program areas, and reporting to the Board and associated authorized committees on program performance.

Prior to joining PayPal, Hyun served as Chief Compliance Officer and Bank Secrecy Officer (BSA) at Paxos, a global blockchain infrastructure company. At Paxos, he was responsible for implementing the compliance program, including anti-money laundering and sanctions, around the company’s digital asset exchange and its asset-backed tokens and stablecoins. He also supported the company’s regulatory engagement efforts, securing regulatory approvals, supporting regulatory reviews, and ensuring compliance with relevant digital asset requirements and guidelines.

Thomas brings additional experience in payments and financial crime compliance (FCC), having previously served as Vice President of Compliance at Mastercard, where he was responsible for compliance for its consumer products portfolio. He also spent more than seven years in EY’s forensics practice, working on various FCC investigations for U.S. and foreign financial institutions.

Hyun is a Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialist (CAMS) and a Certified Fraud Examiner (CFE). He is a graduate of New York University’s Stern School of Business, where he earned a bachelor’s degree in finance and accounting. Additionally, he serves on the board of directors for the Central Ohio Association of Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialists (ACAMS) chapter.

Commenting on his appointment, Hyun said, “With my experience overseeing and implementing effective compliance programs at various levels of maturity and growth, whether in a startup environment or large enterprises, I am excited to help our clients overcome similar obstacles and challenges to improve their financial crime compliance programs. I am excited to join FRA and leverage my experience to help clients navigate the complexities of AML compliance and financial crime prevention in this dynamic space.”

FRA Partner, Roy Pollittadded: “As the FRA’s sponsor partner for our growing Cryptocurrency Investigations and Compliance practice, I am thrilled to have Thomas join our ever-expanding team. The rapid evolution of blockchain and digital asset technologies presents both exciting opportunities and significant compliance challenges. Hiring Thomas in a leadership role underscores our commitment to staying at the forefront of the industry by enhancing our expertise in anti-money laundering and blockchain strategy.”

“Thomas’ extensive background in financial crime compliance and proven track record of building risk-based FCC programs in the blockchain and digital asset space will be invaluable as we continue to provide our clients with the highest level of service and innovative solutions.”

“FRA strengthens cryptocurrency practice with new director Thomas Hyun” was originally created and published by International Accounting Bulletina brand owned by GlobalData.


The information on this website has been included in good faith for general information purposes only. It is not intended to amount to advice on which you should rely, and we make no representations, warranties or assurances, express or implied, as to its accuracy or completeness. You must obtain professional or specialist advice before taking, or refraining from, any action on the basis of the content on our website.

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Bitcoin trades around $57,000, crypto market drops 6% ahead of Fed decision

Financial Block Staff

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Bitcoin trades around $57,000, crypto market drops 6% ahead of Fed decision
  • Bitcoin fell in line with the broader cryptocurrency market, with ether and other altcoins also falling.

  • Financial markets were weighed down by risk-off sentiment ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision and press conference later in the day.

  • 10x Research said it is targeting a price target of $52,000 to $55,000, anticipating further selling pressure.

Bitcoin {{BTC}} was trading around $57,700 during European morning trading on Wednesday after falling to its lowest level since late February, as the world’s largest cryptocurrency recorded its worst month since November 2022.

BTC has fallen about 6.3% over the past 24 hours, after breaking below the $60,000 support level late Tuesday, according to data from CoinDesk. The broader crypto market, as measured by the CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), lost nearly 9% before recovering part of its decline.

Cryptocurrencies have been hurt by risk-off sentiment in broader financial markets amid stagflation in the United States, following indications of slowing growth and persistent inflation that have dampened hopes of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The Federal Open Market Committee is due to deliver its latest rate decision later in the day.

Ether {{ETH}} fell about 5%, dropping below $3,000, while dogecoin {{DOGE}} led the decline among other major altcoins with a 9% drop. Solana {{SOL}} and Avalanche {{AVAX}} both lost about 6%.

Bitcoin plunged in April, posting its first monthly loss since August. The 16% drop is the worst since November 2022, when cryptocurrency exchange FTX imploded, but some analysts are warning of further declines in the immediate future.

10x Research, a digital asset research firm, said it sees selling pressure toward the $52,000 level due to outflows from U.S. cash exchange-traded funds, which have totaled $540 million since the Bitcoin halving on April 20. It estimates that the average entry price for U.S. Bitcoin ETF holders is $57,300, so this could prove to be a key support level.

The closer the bitcoin spot price is to this average entry price, the greater the likelihood of a new ETF unwind, 10x CEO Markus Thielen wrote Wednesday.

“There may have been a lot of ‘TradeFi’ tourists in crypto – pushing longs all the way to the halving – that period is now over,” he wrote. “We expect more unwinding as the average Bitcoin ETF buyer will be underwater when Bitcoin trades below $57,300. This will likely push prices down to our target levels and cause a -25% to -29% correction from the $73,000 high – hence our $52,000/$55,000 price target over the past three weeks.”

The story continues

UPDATE (May 1, 8:56 UTC): Price updates throughout the process.

UPDATE (May 1, 9:57 UTC): Price updates throughout the process.

UPDATE (May 1, 11:05 UTC): Adds analysis from 10x.

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The Cryptocurrency Industry Is Getting Back on Its Feet, for Better or Worse

Financial Block Staff

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The Cryptocurrency Industry Is Getting Back on Its Feet, for Better or Worse

Hello from Austin, where thousands of crypto enthusiasts braved storms and scorching heat to attend Consensus. The industry’s largest and longest-running conference, which can sometimes feel like a religious revival, offers opportunities to chat and listen to leading names in crypto. And for the casual observer, Consensus offers a useful glimpse into the mood of an industry prone to wild swings in fortune.

Unsurprisingly, the mood is noticeably more positive than it was a year ago, when crowds were sparse and many attendees were quietly confiding that they were considering switching to AI. In practice, that means some of the more obnoxious elements are back, but not to the level of Consensus 2018 in New York, when charlatans parked Lamborghinis outside the event and the hallways were lined with booth girls and scammers pitching “ICOs in a box.”

This time around, Elon Musk’s Cybertrucks have replaced Lamborghinis as the vehicle of choice for marketers. One of the most notable publicity stunts was a startup that paid a poor guy to parade around in the Texas sun in a Jamie Dimon costume, wig, and mask, and then staged a mock assault on him by memecoin characters.

Outside the event was a giant “RFK for President” truck, while campaign staffers manned a booth instead — a reflection of both the election year and crypto’s willingness to latch onto any candidate, no matter how outlandish, who will talk about the industry. RFK himself is scheduled to address the conference on Thursday.

Excesses aside, the general sense of optimism was understandable. The cryptocurrency market has not only recovered from the wave of fraud that nearly sank it in 2022, it is riding a new wave of political legitimacy. This month, cryptocurrencies scored once-unthinkable political victories in Washington, D.C., and there is a sense that the industry has not only withstood the relentless regulatory assaults of SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, but is poised to defeat them.

And while cryptocurrency is still searching for its flagship application, the optimists I spoke with pointed to signs that it is (once again) upon us. Those signs include the rapid advancement of zero-knowledge proofs as well as the popularity of Coinbase’s Base blockchain and, perhaps most importantly, the large-scale arrival of traditional finance into the world of cryptocurrencies – a development that not only provides a major financial boost, but also a new element of stability and maturity that will, perhaps, tame the worst of crypto’s wilder side. Finally, this consensus marked the end of the Austin era as the conference, under new leadership, will be held in Toronto and Hong Kong in 2025.

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Jeff John Roberts
jeff.roberts@fortune.com
@jeffjohnroberts

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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