Bitcoin
The clock is ticking for Bitcoin (BTC) price to rise

The Optimistic Impact of the Halving-Induced Slowdown on Bitcoin Price (BTC) supply expansion tends to occur after 100 days, new research from ETC Group shows.
Bitcoin’s mining reward halving is a hard-coded event that goes into effect every four years or after 210,000 blocks have been mined on the blockchain. The quadrennial event reduces the reward miners receive for validating transactions by 50 percent.
The main goal is to control the supply of bitcoin and ensure that it becomes scarce over time, unlike fiat currencies, which have an ever-increasing supply (monetary inflation). The supply of bitcoin is capped at 21 million, and the reward halving helps manage how quickly this limit is reached.
The first halving, implemented in 2012, reduced the block reward paid to miners from 50 BTC to 25 BTC. In the following two halvings, the block supply dropped to 6.25 BTC. The latest halving, implemented on April 20, reduced it further to 3.125 BTC.
Previous reductions paved the way for multiple price increases, with most of the gains occurring after the first 100 days.
“Today marks exactly 100 days after the Bitcoin Halving event on April 20. The market tends to have short memories, but the halving-induced supply deficit should start to take effect from now on,” Andre Dragosch, head of research at ETC Group, said on X.
Dragosch reached this conclusion after analyzing performance data before and after the three previous reductions implemented in 2012, 2016 and 2020.
The study showed that average overperformance—the difference between performance X number of days after the halving and X number before the halving—increases significantly 100 days after the halving and becomes statistically significant, with “T-values” exceeding 2%.
The t-value is a statistical number used in hypothesis testing to determine how far the sample mean is from the population mean, which is stabilized by the sample variability.
“The main takeaway is that 100 days after the Halving, the performance difference becomes statistically significant (T-value > 2) and then becomes increasingly significant until about 400 days after the Halving,” Dragosch told CoinDesk.
The chart shows that the average overperformance rises above 100% from the 100th day after the halving and eventually peaks in the four digits.
It remains to be seen whether history will repeat itself.
Bitcoin
Big Tech Outperforms Bitcoin (BTC) as Trump Deal Weakens Token

Bitcoin has lost out on an asset rally fueled by positive comments from the Federal Reserve, while a tight US election race casts doubt on whether Donald Trump will get the chance to implement his pro-crypto agenda.
The digital asset fell 2.4% on Wednesday, following a Fed-fueled surge in an index of megacap tech stocks Magnificent Seven by one of the largest margins in 2024. The token retreated further on Thursday, changing hands at $63,750 as of 6:10 a.m. in London.
Bitcoin
‘This is huge’ — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues ‘incredible’ Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump

Bitcoin
Bitcoin
came back with a vengeance this year when former President Donald Trump Cryptocurrency boosts US presidential election in November with ‘revolutionary’ plan.
The price of bitcoin has surged to more than its all-time high in recent months, surpassing $70,000 per bitcoin and triggering a wave of mega-optimistic predictions about the price of bitcointhough it fell again this week, falling below $65,000 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.
Now, as Elon Musk suddenly breaks his silence on bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesBillionaire investor Mark Cuban called a California plan to digitize 42 million car titles using blockchain an “incredible step forward” and “huge” for cryptocurrencies.
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Mark Cuban, famous Shark Tank investor and billionaire owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, has… [+] called a cryptocurrency update “amazing” amid bitcoin’s price slump.
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The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) has digitized 42 million car titles using blockchain, it was reported by Reuters, through technology company Oxhead Alpha on the Avalanche blockchain and designed to detect fraud and facilitate the securities transfer process.
“This is an incredible development for crypto,” Cuban, best known as an investor on TV’s Shark Tank and owner of the Dallas Mavericks NBA team, posted on X, joking that U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler could sue the state as part of his hostility toward cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.
“The reason this is huge for crypto is because people who hold the tokens will have an app with an Avalanche wallet,” Cuban said. “Tens of millions of Californians having and using a crypto wallet in the next five years, or however long it takes, normalizes the use of wallets and crypto.”
John Wu, president of Avalanche developer Ava Labs, told Reuters that California’s DMV is “creating a wallet that you can download on your phone.”
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Bitcoin’s price has rallied this year, triggering a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions from… [+] people like billionaire Mark Cuban.
Forbes Digital Assets
Last month, Cuban predicted that if the US dollar falls as the global reserve currency, bitcoin could become “a global ‘safe haven’” and a “global currency.” potentially sending the price of bitcoin to a much higher level.
According to Cuban, bitcoin could become what its most ardent supporters “envision” — a means “of protecting our economies… This is already happening in countries facing hyperinflation.”
The price of bitcoin has skyrocketed over the past year, largely due to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, leading a bitcoin attack on Wall Street.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) miner Riot Platforms (RIOT)’s second-quarter loss widens to $84.4 million as costs rise

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Bitcoin
Why Trump Wants the US Government to Have a “National Stockpile” of Bitcoin

At a national bitcoin conference in Nashville, Donald Trump finally laid out some of his crypto policy proposals, including a long-awaited part of his plan — building a strategic bitcoin reserve. CNN’s Jon Sarlin explains what it is and why the crypto industry wants it.
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