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Key metrics to watch this summer

Financial Block Staff

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Urgent Warning: Bitcoin Could Drop to $55,000

In a recent X publishBenjamin Cowen spoke about Bitcoin’s dominance, explaining its importance in the cryptocurrency market.

For now, the world’s most popular cryptocurrency is at a crossroads. In the coming weeks, a crucial decision awaits: will Bitcoin break out of its current resistance and rise above the Bull Market Support Band (BMSB), or will it remain stuck below?

Analyst Benjamin Cowen highlights a familiar pattern that emerged in the summer of 2024. This is a reference to previous examples.

Historical parallels: 2013 vs. 2024

Drawing a parallel between Bitcoin’s performance in 2013 and 2024, Cowen noted that BTC found a local low on July 5 in both years. He suggests that if Bitcoin follows a similar pattern to 2013, it could experience a “left-shifted peak.” In such a scenario, BTC would quickly reclaim the BMSB and hold it as support for the next 1-2 months, leading to a rally in Q4.

Historically, Bitcoin tends to peak in the fourth quarter of the post-halving year, which for the current cycle would be 2025. However, Bitcoin may take longer to reclaim its BMSB this time around, suggesting a slower but steady climb towards its peak.

Bitcoin Dominance Trends

Cowen predicts a strong rally in Bitcoin dominance in the fourth quarter, potentially peaking around 60%. He argues that Bitcoin, being lower risk than other cryptocurrencies, will likely provide better returns than most altcoins until the Federal Reserve makes a change. This outlook highlights Bitcoin’s role as a safer and more reliable investment in the current market environment.

Technical analysis

Cowen also emphasizes the importance of Bitcoin’s 2-week Relative Strength Index (RSI). This level will help determine whether Bitcoin follows the patterns of 2013 and 2016, where it found support around these levels, or 2019, where it dropped and experienced an intermediate downtrend within a larger uptrend. This analysis provides a technical framework for understanding Bitcoin’s potential paths.

Responding to Cowen, Zia ul Haque agrees with the Q4 rally prediction but expresses skepticism that Bitcoin’s dominance will exceed 58%. He points out that as each cycle progresses, more money gets locked into altcoins, with many investors holding onto them despite market fluctuations. According to Haque, this dynamic could soon lead to an altcoin bottom.

The Road Ahead: Summer and Beyond

In short, Cowen believes that Bitcoin’s future in Q4 2024 depends on its ability to rise above the Bull Market Support Band (BMSB). If it follows the patterns of 2013, 2016, and 2023, Bitcoin could see a strong recovery and rally. However, if it mirrors the 2019 trend, it could continue to struggle.

As we head into the summer, the focus will be on Bitcoin’s ability to break through its current resistance and the factors influencing its path in the coming months.

Will Bitcoin history repeat itself or will we have a surprise in Q4? We will have to wait and see.

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We are the editorial team of Financial Block, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Financial Block, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Big Tech Outperforms Bitcoin (BTC) as Trump Deal Weakens Token

Financial Block Staff

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Big Tech Outperforms Bitcoin (BTC) as Trump Deal Weakens Token

Bitcoin has lost out on an asset rally fueled by positive comments from the Federal Reserve, while a tight US election race casts doubt on whether Donald Trump will get the chance to implement his pro-crypto agenda.

The digital asset fell 2.4% on Wednesday, following a Fed-fueled surge in an index of megacap tech stocks Magnificent Seven by one of the largest margins in 2024. The token retreated further on Thursday, changing hands at $63,750 as of 6:10 a.m. in London.

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‘This is huge’ — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues ‘incredible’ Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump

Financial Block Staff

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'This is huge' — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues 'incredible' Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump

Bitcoin
Bitcoin
came back with a vengeance this year when former President Donald Trump Cryptocurrency boosts US presidential election in November with ‘revolutionary’ plan.

Subscribe now to Forbes CryptoAsset and Blockchain Consultant and “discover blockchain blockbusters poised to generate 1,000%+ gains” after the bitcoin halving earthquake!

The price of bitcoin has surged to more than its all-time high in recent months, surpassing $70,000 per bitcoin and triggering a wave of mega-optimistic predictions about the price of bitcointhough it fell again this week, falling below $65,000 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.

Now, as Elon Musk suddenly breaks his silence on bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesBillionaire investor Mark Cuban called a California plan to digitize 42 million car titles using blockchain an “incredible step forward” and “huge” for cryptocurrencies.

Sign up for free CryptoCodex nowA daily five-minute newsletter for traders, investors, and crypto curious people that will keep you up to date and ahead of the bitcoin and crypto bull market

ForbesElon Musk Suddenly Breaks His Silence On Bitcoin After Issuing Shocking Warning Of US Dollar “Doom” That Could Trigger Cryptocurrency Price BoomBy Billy Bambrough

Mark Cuban, famous Shark Tank investor and billionaire owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, has… [+] called a cryptocurrency update “amazing” amid bitcoin’s price slump.

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The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) has digitized 42 million car titles using blockchain, it was reported by Reuters, through technology company Oxhead Alpha on the Avalanche blockchain and designed to detect fraud and facilitate the securities transfer process.

“This is an incredible development for crypto,” Cuban, best known as an investor on TV’s Shark Tank and owner of the Dallas Mavericks NBA team, posted on X, joking that U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler could sue the state as part of his hostility toward cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.

“The reason this is huge for crypto is because people who hold the tokens will have an app with an Avalanche wallet,” Cuban said. “Tens of millions of Californians having and using a crypto wallet in the next five years, or however long it takes, normalizes the use of wallets and crypto.”

John Wu, president of Avalanche developer Ava Labs, told Reuters that California’s DMV is “creating a wallet that you can download on your phone.”

Sign up for CryptoCodex now—A free daily newsletter for the crypto-curious

ForbesCryptocurrencies Are Suddenly Bracing For A ‘Very Major’ U-Turn In China After Wild Price Swings For Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRPBy Billy Bambrough

Bitcoin’s price has rallied this year, triggering a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions from… [+] people like billionaire Mark Cuban.

Forbes Digital Assets

Last month, Cuban predicted that if the US dollar falls as the global reserve currency, bitcoin could become “a global ‘safe haven’” and a “global currency.” potentially sending the price of bitcoin to a much higher level.

According to Cuban, bitcoin could become what its most ardent supporters “envision” — a means “of protecting our economies… This is already happening in countries facing hyperinflation.”

The price of bitcoin has skyrocketed over the past year, largely due to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, leading a bitcoin attack on Wall Street.

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Bitcoin (BTC) miner Riot Platforms (RIOT)’s second-quarter loss widens to $84.4 million as costs rise

Financial Block Staff

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Bitcoin Mining Profitability Surges in June as Market Adjusts for Halving: Jefferies

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CoinDesk is a awarded media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists follow a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk has been acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Optimistica regulated digital asset exchange. The Bullish Group is majority owned by Block.one; both companies have interests CoinDesk has a portfolio of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial board to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.

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Why Trump Wants the US Government to Have a “National Stockpile” of Bitcoin

Financial Block Staff

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Why Trump Wants the US Government to Have a “National Stockpile” of Bitcoin

At a national bitcoin conference in Nashville, Donald Trump finally laid out some of his crypto policy proposals, including a long-awaited part of his plan — building a strategic bitcoin reserve. CNN’s Jon Sarlin explains what it is and why the crypto industry wants it.

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