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Bitcoin’s $70K pullback characterized by ‘volatile lethargy’

Financial Block Staff

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Bitcoin's $70K pullback characterized by 'volatile lethargy'

Experienced stock traders are probably aware that market corrections are often accompanied by a rise in metrics such as the VIX index, which measures volatility expectations.

However, this is not the case in the bitcoin market, although cryptocurrency prices tend to be positively correlated with technology stocks.

For example, as bitcoin’s price has retreated 10% from above $70,000 in the past four weeks, Deribit’s DVOL bitcoin volatility index — an options-derived measure of expected price turbulence over the next 30 days — has fallen from 53% annualized to 42%, hitting its lowest level since early February, according to charting platform TradingView.

Implied volatility is positively impacted by the demand for options or derivative contracts that give the buyer the right to buy or sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price at a later date. A call option gives the right to buy and a put option gives the right to sell.

The drop in DVOL amid the price correction suggests a calm market environment in which investors are less inclined to panic or seek protective puts or hedge bets. Furthermore, bitcoin’s pullback has been slow and orderly rather than a rapid decline, often prompting investors to buy options to profit from the volatility boom.

“It’s because ever since BTC faded from the highs, we’ve been stuck in a range-bound market with low realized volatility,” David Brickell, head of international distribution at Toronto-based crypto platform FRNT Financial, told CoinDesk. “There’s a lack of appetite to buy volatility in the summer months, and the structure tends to be overwriters selling vol, so in the absence of real demand, we’ve fallen further.”

Volatility selling is a popular crypto strategy where investors sell or write options in a weak market, reducing implied volatility. The seller receives a premium for promising to compensate the buyer in case of sharp price swings. Typically, such strategies involve writing calls on spot market holdings.

According to Brickell, a further rally in BTC to levels above $70,000 will likely revive demand for options and boost the DVOL implied volatility index. BTC price has been Positively correlated with the DVOL index throughout this bullish cycle.

“We will likely need to see BTC retest towards the top of the range and threaten a rally to break out of this volatility lethargy,” Brickell said.

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We are the editorial team of Financial Block, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Financial Block, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Big Tech Outperforms Bitcoin (BTC) as Trump Deal Weakens Token

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Big Tech Outperforms Bitcoin (BTC) as Trump Deal Weakens Token

Bitcoin has lost out on an asset rally fueled by positive comments from the Federal Reserve, while a tight US election race casts doubt on whether Donald Trump will get the chance to implement his pro-crypto agenda.

The digital asset fell 2.4% on Wednesday, following a Fed-fueled surge in an index of megacap tech stocks Magnificent Seven by one of the largest margins in 2024. The token retreated further on Thursday, changing hands at $63,750 as of 6:10 a.m. in London.

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‘This is huge’ — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues ‘incredible’ Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump

Financial Block Staff

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'This is huge' — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues 'incredible' Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump

Bitcoin
Bitcoin
came back with a vengeance this year when former President Donald Trump Cryptocurrency boosts US presidential election in November with ‘revolutionary’ plan.

Subscribe now to Forbes CryptoAsset and Blockchain Consultant and “discover blockchain blockbusters poised to generate 1,000%+ gains” after the bitcoin halving earthquake!

The price of bitcoin has surged to more than its all-time high in recent months, surpassing $70,000 per bitcoin and triggering a wave of mega-optimistic predictions about the price of bitcointhough it fell again this week, falling below $65,000 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.

Now, as Elon Musk suddenly breaks his silence on bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesBillionaire investor Mark Cuban called a California plan to digitize 42 million car titles using blockchain an “incredible step forward” and “huge” for cryptocurrencies.

Sign up for free CryptoCodex nowA daily five-minute newsletter for traders, investors, and crypto curious people that will keep you up to date and ahead of the bitcoin and crypto bull market

ForbesElon Musk Suddenly Breaks His Silence On Bitcoin After Issuing Shocking Warning Of US Dollar “Doom” That Could Trigger Cryptocurrency Price BoomBy Billy Bambrough

Mark Cuban, famous Shark Tank investor and billionaire owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, has… [+] called a cryptocurrency update “amazing” amid bitcoin’s price slump.

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The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) has digitized 42 million car titles using blockchain, it was reported by Reuters, through technology company Oxhead Alpha on the Avalanche blockchain and designed to detect fraud and facilitate the securities transfer process.

“This is an incredible development for crypto,” Cuban, best known as an investor on TV’s Shark Tank and owner of the Dallas Mavericks NBA team, posted on X, joking that U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler could sue the state as part of his hostility toward cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.

“The reason this is huge for crypto is because people who hold the tokens will have an app with an Avalanche wallet,” Cuban said. “Tens of millions of Californians having and using a crypto wallet in the next five years, or however long it takes, normalizes the use of wallets and crypto.”

John Wu, president of Avalanche developer Ava Labs, told Reuters that California’s DMV is “creating a wallet that you can download on your phone.”

Sign up for CryptoCodex now—A free daily newsletter for the crypto-curious

ForbesCryptocurrencies Are Suddenly Bracing For A ‘Very Major’ U-Turn In China After Wild Price Swings For Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRPBy Billy Bambrough

Bitcoin’s price has rallied this year, triggering a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions from… [+] people like billionaire Mark Cuban.

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Last month, Cuban predicted that if the US dollar falls as the global reserve currency, bitcoin could become “a global ‘safe haven’” and a “global currency.” potentially sending the price of bitcoin to a much higher level.

According to Cuban, bitcoin could become what its most ardent supporters “envision” — a means “of protecting our economies… This is already happening in countries facing hyperinflation.”

The price of bitcoin has skyrocketed over the past year, largely due to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, leading a bitcoin attack on Wall Street.

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Bitcoin (BTC) miner Riot Platforms (RIOT)’s second-quarter loss widens to $84.4 million as costs rise

Financial Block Staff

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Bitcoin Mining Profitability Surges in June as Market Adjusts for Halving: Jefferies

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CoinDesk is a awarded media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists follow a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk has been acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Optimistica regulated digital asset exchange. The Bullish Group is majority owned by Block.one; both companies have interests CoinDesk has a portfolio of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial board to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.

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Why Trump Wants the US Government to Have a “National Stockpile” of Bitcoin

Financial Block Staff

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Why Trump Wants the US Government to Have a “National Stockpile” of Bitcoin

At a national bitcoin conference in Nashville, Donald Trump finally laid out some of his crypto policy proposals, including a long-awaited part of his plan — building a strategic bitcoin reserve. CNN’s Jon Sarlin explains what it is and why the crypto industry wants it.

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