Bitcoin
Bitcoin to Hit New All-Time High This Year if History Comes to Pass: Report
The journey to the record high in March was driven largely by approval It is launch of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds, or ETFsin the U.S. in January. They have attracted net inflows of about $14.41 billion to date, according to CCData.
ETFs allow investmentsIt istors to buy a product that tracks the price of bitcoin without owning the underlying cryptocurrency. Cryptocurrency proponents say this has helped legitimize the asset class and made it easier for larger institutional investors to get involved.
Bitcoin’s “cycle” refers to the period of time when the digital currency hits a new high and then drops again to enter a bear market or “crypto winter”. These cycles — three of which have already completed since bitcoin’s launch — tend to follow a similar pattern.
Which has been centered around a event called halvingduring which the reward for miners is cut in half, reducing the supply of bitcoin on the market.
Typically, halvings often occur months before bitcoin hits an all-time high for the cycle. The current cycle has been different. Bitcoin surged to its last pre-halving high on the back of optimism surrounding ETFs in the U.S.
With Bitcoin trading in a range after its all-time high, many are questioning whether the cryptocurrency has reached the top of its current cycle.
CCData’s report, which examined bitcoin’s historical price movements, suggests that it does. The data and research firm said that historical trends have shown that the halving event has always preceded a period of price expansion that can last anywhere from 366 days to 548 days “before producing a cycle top, with each halving experiencing a longer cycle than the previous one due to asset class maturation and reduced volatility.”
The last Bitcoin halving occurred on April 19th this year, so these historic deadlines have not yet passed.
“Furthermore, we observed a decline in trading activity on centralized exchanges for nearly two months following the halving event in previous cycles, which appears to have mirrored this cycle. This suggests that the current cycle could expand further into 2025,” CCData said.
Analysts acknowledged that the “influence of institutional participants in the sector” in the current cycle has “altered previous trends,” adding that low trading activity is likely in the third quarter — which could, in turn, suggest more sideways price action.
“However, the data and past trends are strong enough to suggest that any sideways price action is temporary, and we are likely to break above previous all-time highs once again before the end of the year,” CCData said.
The company’s report said that the upcoming launch of an Ethereum ETF in the US and other similar products around the world “is designed to bring more capital, liquidity and demand to the asset class.”
CCData highlighted another important historical data point to support its thesis — it said that bitcoin price appreciation occurs over a short period of time. For example, in the 2012 cycle, 91.4% of the overall bitcoin price expansion from the halving to the all-time high happened in the four months leading up to the cycle peak. That share of the price increase was 78.8% and 71.5% in the four months leading up to the respective all-time highs of the 2016 and 2020 cycles.
“This parabolic expansion has not yet been done in the current cycle,” CCData said.
Other commentators highlighted how bitcoin’s historical patterns have developed.
“Historically, market cycles peak 12 to 18 months after the Bitcoin halving, which last occurred in April of this year. We also haven’t seen volatility reach previous all-time highs. Finally, previous market cycle peaks have coincided with a rapid succession of all-time highs — upwards of 10 to 20 new all-time highs set in a 30-day window,” Thomas Perfumo, head of strategy at cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, told CNBC in an email.
“We haven’t fired any of those signals yet.”
Bitcoin has lost out on an asset rally fueled by positive comments from the Federal Reserve, while a tight US election race casts doubt on whether Donald Trump will get the chance to implement his pro-crypto agenda.
The digital asset fell 2.4% on Wednesday, following a Fed-fueled surge in an index of megacap tech stocks Magnificent Seven by one of the largest margins in 2024. The token retreated further on Thursday, changing hands at $63,750 as of 6:10 a.m. in London.
Bitcoin
‘This is huge’ — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues ‘incredible’ Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump
Bitcoin
Bitcoin
came back with a vengeance this year when former President Donald Trump Cryptocurrency boosts US presidential election in November with ‘revolutionary’ plan.
The price of bitcoin has surged to more than its all-time high in recent months, surpassing $70,000 per bitcoin and triggering a wave of mega-optimistic predictions about the price of bitcointhough it fell again this week, falling below $65,000 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.
Now, as Elon Musk suddenly breaks his silence on bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesBillionaire investor Mark Cuban called a California plan to digitize 42 million car titles using blockchain an “incredible step forward” and “huge” for cryptocurrencies.
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Mark Cuban, famous Shark Tank investor and billionaire owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, has… [+] called a cryptocurrency update “amazing” amid bitcoin’s price slump.
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The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) has digitized 42 million car titles using blockchain, it was reported by Reuters, through technology company Oxhead Alpha on the Avalanche blockchain and designed to detect fraud and facilitate the securities transfer process.
“This is an incredible development for crypto,” Cuban, best known as an investor on TV’s Shark Tank and owner of the Dallas Mavericks NBA team, posted on X, joking that U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler could sue the state as part of his hostility toward cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.
“The reason this is huge for crypto is because people who hold the tokens will have an app with an Avalanche wallet,” Cuban said. “Tens of millions of Californians having and using a crypto wallet in the next five years, or however long it takes, normalizes the use of wallets and crypto.”
John Wu, president of Avalanche developer Ava Labs, told Reuters that California’s DMV is “creating a wallet that you can download on your phone.”
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Bitcoin’s price has rallied this year, triggering a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions from… [+] people like billionaire Mark Cuban.
Forbes Digital Assets
Last month, Cuban predicted that if the US dollar falls as the global reserve currency, bitcoin could become “a global ‘safe haven’” and a “global currency.” potentially sending the price of bitcoin to a much higher level.
According to Cuban, bitcoin could become what its most ardent supporters “envision” — a means “of protecting our economies… This is already happening in countries facing hyperinflation.”
The price of bitcoin has skyrocketed over the past year, largely due to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, leading a bitcoin attack on Wall Street.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) miner Riot Platforms (RIOT)’s second-quarter loss widens to $84.4 million as costs rise
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At a national bitcoin conference in Nashville, Donald Trump finally laid out some of his crypto policy proposals, including a long-awaited part of his plan — building a strategic bitcoin reserve. CNN’s Jon Sarlin explains what it is and why the crypto industry wants it.
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