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Bitcoin Outlook Improves Despite Recent Price Volatility Following April Halving

Financial Block Staff

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Bitcoin Outlook Improves Despite Recent Price Volatility Following April Halving

The fourth Bitcoin halving in April reduced the rate of issuance of new bitcoins to 3,125 BTC every ten minutes, sparking significant interest and speculation. Since then, Bitcoin has fallen from its highs, with some investors worried that the days of higher BTC prices are in the distant future.

We believe the new March high (above $70,000) was a “fake” driven by the new spot Bitcoin ETFs. However, considering the halving event and ongoing supply/demand issues, we expect a brighter future for BTC and crypto as the year progresses.

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Why do some experts think Bitcoin has outperformed? And why did the liquidation occur? Unlike previous halvings, Bitcoin’s price soared to a new high of $73,750 with a market cap of $1.44 trillion on March 14, a month before the halving. The rapid rise since the beginning of the year, when it was as low as $39,000, has spooked speculative investors and those who were in it for the “halving trade” into cashing out.

However, the pullback likely resulted from macro factors, specifically aggressive comments from the Federal Reserve. This triggered a “risk aversion” mentality, as an interest rate cut became more unlikely in 2024, making an increase possible. Since then, economic data has been weaker than expected, making an increase very unlikely for now. This move reactivated risk-on trading, setting an immediate floor in BTC prices, which have since recovered above $60,000. It also suggests a change in supply and demand factors for bitcoin, which appear favorable for higher prices.

There are several reasons to be optimistic about Bitcoin and crypto.

First, the last three halvings have consistently led to new all-time highs in the price of Bitcoin in the months following the event. We believe this trend will accelerate as more institutional investors include BTC in their portfolios, further tightening supply. This “rising tide” in BTC should lift all crypto boats.

Second, the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 is a key development. These ETFs, which allow investors to trade stocks through existing retail brokerage accounts, promise greater availability through financial advisors. Companies like Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, and LPL are conducting due diligence on their platforms for availability. Approval on these platforms seems inevitable, improving accessibility and simplifying the Bitcoin investment process, which will likely lead to much greater demand.

Third, regulatory developments in global crypto markets will significantly influence Bitcoin price dynamics. The potential approval of a US bill establishing a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies and for Europe Regulation of Cryptoasset Markets (MiCA) is crucial. They will help dispel the notion that BTC and crypto are mere “pets” by recognizing them as stores of value with technological utility. This shift in perception could transform Bitcoin and crypto from speculative instruments into strategic investments and potentially a flight-to-quality investment.

Remember that a complex interplay between market dynamics, investor sentiment, technological advances, and macroeconomic events influences the price of Bitcoin. I am bullish on BTC and crypto and will closely watch the post-halving market continuation.

Note: The opinions expressed in this column are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of CoinDesk, Inc. or its owners and affiliates.

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We are the editorial team of Financial Block, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Financial Block, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Big Tech Outperforms Bitcoin (BTC) as Trump Deal Weakens Token

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Big Tech Outperforms Bitcoin (BTC) as Trump Deal Weakens Token

Bitcoin has lost out on an asset rally fueled by positive comments from the Federal Reserve, while a tight US election race casts doubt on whether Donald Trump will get the chance to implement his pro-crypto agenda.

The digital asset fell 2.4% on Wednesday, following a Fed-fueled surge in an index of megacap tech stocks Magnificent Seven by one of the largest margins in 2024. The token retreated further on Thursday, changing hands at $63,750 as of 6:10 a.m. in London.

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‘This is huge’ — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues ‘incredible’ Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump

Financial Block Staff

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'This is huge' — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues 'incredible' Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump

Bitcoin
Bitcoin
came back with a vengeance this year when former President Donald Trump Cryptocurrency boosts US presidential election in November with ‘revolutionary’ plan.

Subscribe now to Forbes CryptoAsset and Blockchain Consultant and “discover blockchain blockbusters poised to generate 1,000%+ gains” after the bitcoin halving earthquake!

The price of bitcoin has surged to more than its all-time high in recent months, surpassing $70,000 per bitcoin and triggering a wave of mega-optimistic predictions about the price of bitcointhough it fell again this week, falling below $65,000 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.

Now, as Elon Musk suddenly breaks his silence on bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesBillionaire investor Mark Cuban called a California plan to digitize 42 million car titles using blockchain an “incredible step forward” and “huge” for cryptocurrencies.

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ForbesElon Musk Suddenly Breaks His Silence On Bitcoin After Issuing Shocking Warning Of US Dollar “Doom” That Could Trigger Cryptocurrency Price BoomBy Billy Bambrough

Mark Cuban, famous Shark Tank investor and billionaire owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, has… [+] called a cryptocurrency update “amazing” amid bitcoin’s price slump.

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The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) has digitized 42 million car titles using blockchain, it was reported by Reuters, through technology company Oxhead Alpha on the Avalanche blockchain and designed to detect fraud and facilitate the securities transfer process.

“This is an incredible development for crypto,” Cuban, best known as an investor on TV’s Shark Tank and owner of the Dallas Mavericks NBA team, posted on X, joking that U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler could sue the state as part of his hostility toward cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.

“The reason this is huge for crypto is because people who hold the tokens will have an app with an Avalanche wallet,” Cuban said. “Tens of millions of Californians having and using a crypto wallet in the next five years, or however long it takes, normalizes the use of wallets and crypto.”

John Wu, president of Avalanche developer Ava Labs, told Reuters that California’s DMV is “creating a wallet that you can download on your phone.”

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ForbesCryptocurrencies Are Suddenly Bracing For A ‘Very Major’ U-Turn In China After Wild Price Swings For Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRPBy Billy Bambrough

Bitcoin’s price has rallied this year, triggering a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions from… [+] people like billionaire Mark Cuban.

Forbes Digital Assets

Last month, Cuban predicted that if the US dollar falls as the global reserve currency, bitcoin could become “a global ‘safe haven’” and a “global currency.” potentially sending the price of bitcoin to a much higher level.

According to Cuban, bitcoin could become what its most ardent supporters “envision” — a means “of protecting our economies… This is already happening in countries facing hyperinflation.”

The price of bitcoin has skyrocketed over the past year, largely due to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, leading a bitcoin attack on Wall Street.

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Bitcoin (BTC) miner Riot Platforms (RIOT)’s second-quarter loss widens to $84.4 million as costs rise

Financial Block Staff

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Bitcoin Mining Profitability Surges in June as Market Adjusts for Halving: Jefferies

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CoinDesk is a awarded media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists follow a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk has been acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Optimistica regulated digital asset exchange. The Bullish Group is majority owned by Block.one; both companies have interests CoinDesk has a portfolio of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial board to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.

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Why Trump Wants the US Government to Have a “National Stockpile” of Bitcoin

Financial Block Staff

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Why Trump Wants the US Government to Have a “National Stockpile” of Bitcoin

At a national bitcoin conference in Nashville, Donald Trump finally laid out some of his crypto policy proposals, including a long-awaited part of his plan — building a strategic bitcoin reserve. CNN’s Jon Sarlin explains what it is and why the crypto industry wants it.

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