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1 Top Cryptocurrencies to Buy Before They Skyrocket 635% to 5,480%, According to Some Wall Street Analysts
Risky assets generally perform better when interest rates are low. So speculation that stubborn inflation would cause Federal Reserve policymakers to cut rates more slowly than expected has been a headwind for cryptocurrencies in recent weeks.
Indeed, while Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) hit a new all-time high of $73,000 in March, its price has since slipped 7% to $68,000. However, several Wall Street analysts see substantial upside potential for patient investors.
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Tom Lee, managing partner and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, believes that the combination of recently approved spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the recent halving of Bitcoin block grants, and the possible relaxation of policy Monetary (lower interest rates) could push Bitcoin to $150,000 by 2025 and $500,000 by 2029. The latter figure implies a 635% upside from its current price of $68,000.
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Anthony Scaramucci, founder and managing partner of SkyBridge Capital, recently told CNBC that spot Bitcoin ETFs could propel the cryptocurrency beyond the market cap of gold, which is currently around $16 trillion. dollars. In this scenario, a single Bitcoin would be worth around $800,000, implying an upside of around 1,075% from its current price.
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Cathie Wood, CEO and CIO of Ark Invest, estimates that spot Bitcoin ETFs will eventually capture about 5% of institutional assets under management, pushing the price of a single Bitcoin to $3.8 million. This estimate implies an upside of approximately 5,480% from its current price.
It should be noted, however, that investors should never place too much confidence in price targets. These are simply educated guesses about what might happen in the future. That said, Bitcoin deserves a closer look given the enormous upside potential implied by the price targets above. Here’s what investors should know.
The investment thesis for Bitcoin is simple
The price of Bitcoin is based on supply and demand. However, with supply limited to 21 million coins, demand is the most important variable. This means that the future price trajectory of Bitcoin depends on whether demand increases or decreases from its current level.
Two recent developments could boost demand in the months and years to come. First, the Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024. Second, the Bitcoin block subsidy was cut in half in April 2024.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs could bring institutional investors into the market
Spot Bitcoin ETFs provide investors with direct exposure to Bitcoin through their brokerage accounts, meaning they do not need to create new accounts on cryptocurrency exchanges. Additionally, although spot Bitcoin ETFs charge annual fees expressed as an expense ratio, they are often lower than the transaction fees charged by cryptocurrency exchanges.
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In short, spot Bitcoin ETFs reduce friction for both retail and institutional investors. When I talk about institutional investors, I’m referring to professional money managers like family offices, endowments, hedge funds, insurance companies, and investment banks. Institutional assets under management (AUM) are expected to reach $145 trillion by 2025, according to PwC. If even a small fraction of this total were allocated to Bitcoin, the price of the cryptocurrency could increase significantly.
As mentioned, Ark Invest estimates that spot Bitcoin ETFs will eventually capture just over 5% of institutional assets under management, implying around $8 trillion (based on PwC’s estimate). For context, we are nowhere near that number at the moment. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have around $57 billion in assets under management, and most of that money comes from retail investors.
However, US regulators only approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January, and the early results are undoubtedly encouraging. THE iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ: IBIT) by black rock and the Wise Original Bitcoin Trust (NYSEMKT: FBTC) from Fidelity accumulated more assets in its first 50 days on the market than any other ETF in history, according to Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas.
In addition, Form 13F Filings for the first quarter of 2024 show that a few hundred institutional investors purchased small positions in various Bitcoin ETFs for spot. This includes banks like JPMorgan Chase, American BankAnd Wells Fargoas well as highly profitable hedge funds like Citadel, DE Shaw and Millennium Management.
Bitcoin block subsidy halving expected to reduce miner selling pressure
Bitcoin miners make money through block grants and transaction fees, collectively called block rewards. Block grants, which represent newly minted Bitcoin, are halved every time 210,000 blocks (groups of transactions) are validated and added to the blockchain, which happens approximately once every four years.
The most recent halving event took place in April 2024, when the block subsidy increased from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This is the fourth halving event since Bitcoin’s inception, and the implied reduction in selling pressure – miners will have less Bitcoin to sell over the next four years – bodes well for investors as this would amount to an increase in demand.
Indeed, Bitcoin has seen significant price appreciation following previous halving events.
November 2012 |
2,964% |
July 2016 |
922% |
May 2020 |
348% |
Data source: Fidelity Digital Assets.
Is Bitcoin a good investment?
Investors comfortable with risk and volatility should consider purchasing a small position in Bitcoin today, provided they have the right mindset. Cryptocurrency prices can rise and fall quickly, sometimes for seemingly absurd reasons, so investors should be prepared to hold on to their Bitcoin despite ups and downs over a long period of time.
Additionally, there is no guarantee that Bitcoin will ever reach the previously mentioned price targets. For this reason, it is best to consider Bitcoin as part of a diversified portfolio.
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1 Top Cryptocurrencies to Buy Before They Skyrocket 635% to 5,480%, According to Some Wall Street Analysts was originally published by The Motley Fool
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Bitcoin soars above $63,000 as money flows into new US investment products
Bitcoin has surpassed the $63,000 mark for the first time since November 2021. (Chesnot via Getty Images)
Bitcoin has broken above the $63,000 (£49,745) mark for the first time since November 2021, when the digital asset hit its all-time high of over $68,000.
Over the past 24 hours, the value of the largest digital asset by market capitalization has increased by more than 8% to trade at $63,108, at the time of writing.
Learn more: Live Cryptocurrency Prices
The price appreciation was fueled by record inflows into several U.S.-based bitcoin cash exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which were approved in January this year.
A Bitcoin spot ETF is a financial product that investors believe will pave the way for an influx of traditional capital into the cryptocurrency market. Currently, indications are favorable, with fund managers such as BlackRock (BLK) and Franklin Templeton (BEN), after allocating a record $673 million into spot Bitcoin ETFs on Wednesday.
Learn more: Bitcoin’s Success With SEC Fuels Expectations for an Ether Spot ETF
The record allocation surpassed the funds’ first day of launch, when inflows totaled $655 million. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (I BITE) alone attracted a record $612 million yesterday.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Earlier this week, veteran investor Peter Brandt said that bitcoin could peak at $200,000 by September 2025. “With the push above the upper boundary of the 15-month channel, the target for the current market bull cycle, which is expected to end in August/September 2025, is raised from $120,000 to $200,000,” Brandt said. published on X.
The influx of capital from the traditional financial sphere into Bitcoin spot ETFs is acting as a major price catalyst for the digital asset, but it is not the only one. The consensus among analysts is that the upcoming “bitcoin halving” could continue to drive flows into the bitcoin market.
The Bitcoin halving is an event that occurs roughly every four years and is expected to happen again next April. The halving will reduce the bitcoin reward that miners receive for validating blocks on the blockchain from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This could lead to a supply crunch for the digital asset, which could lead to price appreciation.
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Watch: Bitcoin ETFs set to attract funds from US pension plans, says Standard Chartered analyst | Future Focus
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FRA Strengthens Cryptocurrency Practice with New Director Thomas Hyun
Forensic Risk Alliance (FRA), an independent consultancy specializing in regulatory investigations, compliance and litigation, has welcomed U.S.-based cryptocurrency specialist Thomas Hyun as a director of the firm’s global cryptocurrency investigations and compliance practice. Hyun brings to the firm years of experience building and leading anti-money laundering (AML) compliance programs, including emerging payment technologies in the blockchain and digital asset ecosystem.
Hyun has nearly 15 years of experience as a compliance officer. Prior to joining FRA, he served as Director of AML and Blockchain Strategy at PayPal for four years. He established PayPal’s financial crime policy and control framework for its cryptocurrency-related products, including PayPal’s first consumer-facing cryptocurrency offering on PayPal and Venmo, as well as PayPal’s branded stablecoin.
At PayPal, Hyun oversaw the second-line AML program for the cryptocurrency business. His responsibilities included drafting financial crime policies supporting the cryptocurrency business, establishing governance and escalation processes for high-risk partners, providing credible challenge and oversight of front-line program areas, and reporting to the Board and associated authorized committees on program performance.
Prior to joining PayPal, Hyun served as Chief Compliance Officer and Bank Secrecy Officer (BSA) at Paxos, a global blockchain infrastructure company. At Paxos, he was responsible for implementing the compliance program, including anti-money laundering and sanctions, around the company’s digital asset exchange and its asset-backed tokens and stablecoins. He also supported the company’s regulatory engagement efforts, securing regulatory approvals, supporting regulatory reviews, and ensuring compliance with relevant digital asset requirements and guidelines.
Thomas brings additional experience in payments and financial crime compliance (FCC), having previously served as Vice President of Compliance at Mastercard, where he was responsible for compliance for its consumer products portfolio. He also spent more than seven years in EY’s forensics practice, working on various FCC investigations for U.S. and foreign financial institutions.
Hyun is a Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialist (CAMS) and a Certified Fraud Examiner (CFE). He is a graduate of New York University’s Stern School of Business, where he earned a bachelor’s degree in finance and accounting. Additionally, he serves on the board of directors for the Central Ohio Association of Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialists (ACAMS) chapter.
Commenting on his appointment, Hyun said, “With my experience overseeing and implementing effective compliance programs at various levels of maturity and growth, whether in a startup environment or large enterprises, I am excited to help our clients overcome similar obstacles and challenges to improve their financial crime compliance programs. I am excited to join FRA and leverage my experience to help clients navigate the complexities of AML compliance and financial crime prevention in this dynamic space.”
FRA Partner, Roy Pollittadded: “As the FRA’s sponsor partner for our growing Cryptocurrency Investigations and Compliance practice, I am thrilled to have Thomas join our ever-expanding team. The rapid evolution of blockchain and digital asset technologies presents both exciting opportunities and significant compliance challenges. Hiring Thomas in a leadership role underscores our commitment to staying at the forefront of the industry by enhancing our expertise in anti-money laundering and blockchain strategy.”
“Thomas’ extensive background in financial crime compliance and proven track record of building risk-based FCC programs in the blockchain and digital asset space will be invaluable as we continue to provide our clients with the highest level of service and innovative solutions.”
“FRA strengthens cryptocurrency practice with new director Thomas Hyun” was originally created and published by International Accounting Bulletina brand owned by GlobalData.
The information on this website has been included in good faith for general information purposes only. It is not intended to amount to advice on which you should rely, and we make no representations, warranties or assurances, express or implied, as to its accuracy or completeness. You must obtain professional or specialist advice before taking, or refraining from, any action on the basis of the content on our website.
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Bitcoin trades around $57,000, crypto market drops 6% ahead of Fed decision
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Bitcoin fell in line with the broader cryptocurrency market, with ether and other altcoins also falling.
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Financial markets were weighed down by risk-off sentiment ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision and press conference later in the day.
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10x Research said it is targeting a price target of $52,000 to $55,000, anticipating further selling pressure.
Bitcoin {{BTC}} was trading around $57,700 during European morning trading on Wednesday after falling to its lowest level since late February, as the world’s largest cryptocurrency recorded its worst month since November 2022.
BTC has fallen about 6.3% over the past 24 hours, after breaking below the $60,000 support level late Tuesday, according to data from CoinDesk. The broader crypto market, as measured by the CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), lost nearly 9% before recovering part of its decline.
Cryptocurrencies have been hurt by risk-off sentiment in broader financial markets amid stagflation in the United States, following indications of slowing growth and persistent inflation that have dampened hopes of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The Federal Open Market Committee is due to deliver its latest rate decision later in the day.
Ether {{ETH}} fell about 5%, dropping below $3,000, while dogecoin {{DOGE}} led the decline among other major altcoins with a 9% drop. Solana {{SOL}} and Avalanche {{AVAX}} both lost about 6%.
Bitcoin plunged in April, posting its first monthly loss since August. The 16% drop is the worst since November 2022, when cryptocurrency exchange FTX imploded, but some analysts are warning of further declines in the immediate future.
10x Research, a digital asset research firm, said it sees selling pressure toward the $52,000 level due to outflows from U.S. cash exchange-traded funds, which have totaled $540 million since the Bitcoin halving on April 20. It estimates that the average entry price for U.S. Bitcoin ETF holders is $57,300, so this could prove to be a key support level.
The closer the bitcoin spot price is to this average entry price, the greater the likelihood of a new ETF unwind, 10x CEO Markus Thielen wrote Wednesday.
“There may have been a lot of ‘TradeFi’ tourists in crypto – pushing longs all the way to the halving – that period is now over,” he wrote. “We expect more unwinding as the average Bitcoin ETF buyer will be underwater when Bitcoin trades below $57,300. This will likely push prices down to our target levels and cause a -25% to -29% correction from the $73,000 high – hence our $52,000/$55,000 price target over the past three weeks.”
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UPDATE (May 1, 8:56 UTC): Price updates throughout the process.
UPDATE (May 1, 9:57 UTC): Price updates throughout the process.
UPDATE (May 1, 11:05 UTC): Adds analysis from 10x.
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The Cryptocurrency Industry Is Getting Back on Its Feet, for Better or Worse
Hello from Austin, where thousands of crypto enthusiasts braved storms and scorching heat to attend Consensus. The industry’s largest and longest-running conference, which can sometimes feel like a religious revival, offers opportunities to chat and listen to leading names in crypto. And for the casual observer, Consensus offers a useful glimpse into the mood of an industry prone to wild swings in fortune.
Unsurprisingly, the mood is noticeably more positive than it was a year ago, when crowds were sparse and many attendees were quietly confiding that they were considering switching to AI. In practice, that means some of the more obnoxious elements are back, but not to the level of Consensus 2018 in New York, when charlatans parked Lamborghinis outside the event and the hallways were lined with booth girls and scammers pitching “ICOs in a box.”
This time around, Elon Musk’s Cybertrucks have replaced Lamborghinis as the vehicle of choice for marketers. One of the most notable publicity stunts was a startup that paid a poor guy to parade around in the Texas sun in a Jamie Dimon costume, wig, and mask, and then staged a mock assault on him by memecoin characters.
Outside the event was a giant “RFK for President” truck, while campaign staffers manned a booth instead — a reflection of both the election year and crypto’s willingness to latch onto any candidate, no matter how outlandish, who will talk about the industry. RFK himself is scheduled to address the conference on Thursday.
Excesses aside, the general sense of optimism was understandable. The cryptocurrency market has not only recovered from the wave of fraud that nearly sank it in 2022, it is riding a new wave of political legitimacy. This month, cryptocurrencies scored once-unthinkable political victories in Washington, D.C., and there is a sense that the industry has not only withstood the relentless regulatory assaults of SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, but is poised to defeat them.
And while cryptocurrency is still searching for its flagship application, the optimists I spoke with pointed to signs that it is (once again) upon us. Those signs include the rapid advancement of zero-knowledge proofs as well as the popularity of Coinbase’s Base blockchain and, perhaps most importantly, the large-scale arrival of traditional finance into the world of cryptocurrencies – a development that not only provides a major financial boost, but also a new element of stability and maturity that will, perhaps, tame the worst of crypto’s wilder side. Finally, this consensus marked the end of the Austin era as the conference, under new leadership, will be held in Toronto and Hong Kong in 2025.
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Jeff John Roberts
jeff.roberts@fortune.com
@jeffjohnroberts
This story was originally featured on Fortune.com
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