News
Here’s why gold, bitcoin and stocks are all hitting new highs
Gold, bitcoin, the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Composite and the Nikkei 225 have all recently reached record highs. – Photo illustration MarketWatch/iStockphoto
Gold, a safe haven, was not the only one to reach new records, but its progression was followed by some riskier companions: bitcoin, the main American stock indices and other global stock indices.
Most read on MarketWatch
In general, “rising asset prices create bullish sentiment that spills over into other asset classes, making investors feel comfortable making new investments,” said Alex Pickard, vice president of research at investment firm Research Affiliates. “Positive liquidity flows increase asset prices. »
On the Comex, gold futures GC00 GCJ24 recorded a new record settlement, with prices closing Friday at $2,185.50 an ounce. They recorded a sixth consecutive record, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
Read: Gold marks another record. Here’s who’s not buying.
Bitcoin BTCUSD also hit a new all-time high on Friday, surpassing $70,000. On March 7, the S&P 500 SPX index set a record closing high of 5,157.36, while the Nasdaq Composite COMP closed at a record high of 16,274.94 on March 1.
Read also : There is a great mystery in the rally of everything: the record rise of gold
There has been “a lot of liquidity on the sidelines” in relatively high-yielding Treasuries, which look less attractive as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicates the Fed is close to cutting bond rates. “interest and riskier assets appreciate, Pickard said.
He expects continued market strength in gold, bitcoin, U.S. stocks and other markets as that money is deployed into riskier assets. Other global stock markets hitting all-time highs include Japan. Japan’s Nikkei 225 JP:NIK set a record on March 4 at 40,109.23.
“Market valuations are rising as anticipation of interest rate cuts increases,” said Jason Schenker, president of Prestige Economics.
“With the prospect of US monetary policy easing, asset values are poised to increase,” he told MarketWatch. “This is likely to support everything from US stocks to residential property prices.”
The US dollar is also likely to weaken due to Fed rate cuts, and geopolitical tensions are high and growing – “both of which are supporting gold prices.”
The story continues
Bitcoin versus gold
Bitcoin, meanwhile, is benefiting from the prospect of a Fed interest rate cut, a weaker dollar and geopolitical tensions, Schenker said.
“A swarm of hyped locusts bought bitcoin following the SEC Bitcoin ETF’s spot approvals earlier this year and ahead of next month’s redemption halving,” he said. Halving is a mechanism written into the Bitcoin blockchain algorithm to control the limited supply of the coin.
Read: Bitcoin halved again in April. Here’s why it’s different this time.
Bitcoin exchange-traded funds have performed well since they began trading in January. As of March 7, the iShares Bitcoin ETF IBIT, for example, had seen a net inflow of funds of approximately $9.45 billion since January 12, according to Dow Jones Market Data analysis of FactSet data. However, among gold ETFs, SPDR Gold Shares GLD has seen a net outflow of $4.15 billion year-to-date.
Bitcoin is a “digitally native asset,” while gold is a “physical asset” — one that investors can hold in their hands, said Pickard of Research Affiliates. This is an attractive grade of gold, he said, so gold prices are rising through physical purchases, while gold ETFs are experiencing outflows.
On the other hand, for many investors, a Bitcoin ETF is “a safer and easier way to access Bitcoin than buying the coin itself,” so Bitcoin prices rise through purchases of ETFs, Pickard said.
Read: Has the Bitcoin ETF frenzy driven crypto to a record high? How the experts see it.
Pickard expects Bitcoin to lure investors away from gold, with the “lure” being “media, traditional and social, and word of mouth.”
“We live in an attention economy, and bitcoin gets more attention than gold,” he said, adding that bitcoin investors are likely growing faster than gold investors.
Nonetheless, both gold and bitcoin may see their prices rise due to “more buying than selling in both markets,” Pickard said. “I expect both assets to rise, but bitcoin to outperform gold.”
S&P 500 versus gold
At the same time, looking at changes in the value of gold relative to the US stock market, or more specifically the S&P 500 index, can help gauge investor confidence.
Comparing gold with the S&P 500 over time can give “a sense of whether investor sentiment in stocks is rising or falling, and when it might be overly optimistic or pessimistic,” wrote Jessica Rabe, co-founder of DataTrek Research, in a note this week. .
She pointed out that the S&P 500/gold price ratio does “an excellent job of highlighting long-term trends in stock investor sentiment.”
The S&P 500 trades at 2.4 times the price of gold, at a standard deviation from the long-term average of 1.6, she said. So, “neither stocks nor gold are significantly undervalued relative to other assets based on these long-term calculations,” Rabe said.
Pickard, meanwhile, said the 2.4 ratio, “which has been around for about 5 years,” indicates that investors are “both equally confident in the S&P 500 and gold.”
A break above 2.75 would indicate increased investor confidence in stocks relative to gold, while a drop below 2.0 would indicate greater investor confidence in gold relative to stocks , did he declare.
Most read on MarketWatch
News
Bitcoin soars above $63,000 as money flows into new US investment products
Bitcoin has surpassed the $63,000 mark for the first time since November 2021. (Chesnot via Getty Images)
Bitcoin has broken above the $63,000 (£49,745) mark for the first time since November 2021, when the digital asset hit its all-time high of over $68,000.
Over the past 24 hours, the value of the largest digital asset by market capitalization has increased by more than 8% to trade at $63,108, at the time of writing.
Learn more: Live Cryptocurrency Prices
The price appreciation was fueled by record inflows into several U.S.-based bitcoin cash exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which were approved in January this year.
A Bitcoin spot ETF is a financial product that investors believe will pave the way for an influx of traditional capital into the cryptocurrency market. Currently, indications are favorable, with fund managers such as BlackRock (BLK) and Franklin Templeton (BEN), after allocating a record $673 million into spot Bitcoin ETFs on Wednesday.
Learn more: Bitcoin’s Success With SEC Fuels Expectations for an Ether Spot ETF
The record allocation surpassed the funds’ first day of launch, when inflows totaled $655 million. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (I BITE) alone attracted a record $612 million yesterday.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Earlier this week, veteran investor Peter Brandt said that bitcoin could peak at $200,000 by September 2025. “With the push above the upper boundary of the 15-month channel, the target for the current market bull cycle, which is expected to end in August/September 2025, is raised from $120,000 to $200,000,” Brandt said. published on X.
The influx of capital from the traditional financial sphere into Bitcoin spot ETFs is acting as a major price catalyst for the digital asset, but it is not the only one. The consensus among analysts is that the upcoming “bitcoin halving” could continue to drive flows into the bitcoin market.
The Bitcoin halving is an event that occurs roughly every four years and is expected to happen again next April. The halving will reduce the bitcoin reward that miners receive for validating blocks on the blockchain from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This could lead to a supply crunch for the digital asset, which could lead to price appreciation.
The story continues
Watch: Bitcoin ETFs set to attract funds from US pension plans, says Standard Chartered analyst | Future Focus
Download the Yahoo Finance app, available for Apple And Android.
News
FRA Strengthens Cryptocurrency Practice with New Director Thomas Hyun
Forensic Risk Alliance (FRA), an independent consultancy specializing in regulatory investigations, compliance and litigation, has welcomed U.S.-based cryptocurrency specialist Thomas Hyun as a director of the firm’s global cryptocurrency investigations and compliance practice. Hyun brings to the firm years of experience building and leading anti-money laundering (AML) compliance programs, including emerging payment technologies in the blockchain and digital asset ecosystem.
Hyun has nearly 15 years of experience as a compliance officer. Prior to joining FRA, he served as Director of AML and Blockchain Strategy at PayPal for four years. He established PayPal’s financial crime policy and control framework for its cryptocurrency-related products, including PayPal’s first consumer-facing cryptocurrency offering on PayPal and Venmo, as well as PayPal’s branded stablecoin.
At PayPal, Hyun oversaw the second-line AML program for the cryptocurrency business. His responsibilities included drafting financial crime policies supporting the cryptocurrency business, establishing governance and escalation processes for high-risk partners, providing credible challenge and oversight of front-line program areas, and reporting to the Board and associated authorized committees on program performance.
Prior to joining PayPal, Hyun served as Chief Compliance Officer and Bank Secrecy Officer (BSA) at Paxos, a global blockchain infrastructure company. At Paxos, he was responsible for implementing the compliance program, including anti-money laundering and sanctions, around the company’s digital asset exchange and its asset-backed tokens and stablecoins. He also supported the company’s regulatory engagement efforts, securing regulatory approvals, supporting regulatory reviews, and ensuring compliance with relevant digital asset requirements and guidelines.
Thomas brings additional experience in payments and financial crime compliance (FCC), having previously served as Vice President of Compliance at Mastercard, where he was responsible for compliance for its consumer products portfolio. He also spent more than seven years in EY’s forensics practice, working on various FCC investigations for U.S. and foreign financial institutions.
Hyun is a Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialist (CAMS) and a Certified Fraud Examiner (CFE). He is a graduate of New York University’s Stern School of Business, where he earned a bachelor’s degree in finance and accounting. Additionally, he serves on the board of directors for the Central Ohio Association of Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialists (ACAMS) chapter.
Commenting on his appointment, Hyun said, “With my experience overseeing and implementing effective compliance programs at various levels of maturity and growth, whether in a startup environment or large enterprises, I am excited to help our clients overcome similar obstacles and challenges to improve their financial crime compliance programs. I am excited to join FRA and leverage my experience to help clients navigate the complexities of AML compliance and financial crime prevention in this dynamic space.”
FRA Partner, Roy Pollittadded: “As the FRA’s sponsor partner for our growing Cryptocurrency Investigations and Compliance practice, I am thrilled to have Thomas join our ever-expanding team. The rapid evolution of blockchain and digital asset technologies presents both exciting opportunities and significant compliance challenges. Hiring Thomas in a leadership role underscores our commitment to staying at the forefront of the industry by enhancing our expertise in anti-money laundering and blockchain strategy.”
“Thomas’ extensive background in financial crime compliance and proven track record of building risk-based FCC programs in the blockchain and digital asset space will be invaluable as we continue to provide our clients with the highest level of service and innovative solutions.”
“FRA strengthens cryptocurrency practice with new director Thomas Hyun” was originally created and published by International Accounting Bulletina brand owned by GlobalData.
The information on this website has been included in good faith for general information purposes only. It is not intended to amount to advice on which you should rely, and we make no representations, warranties or assurances, express or implied, as to its accuracy or completeness. You must obtain professional or specialist advice before taking, or refraining from, any action on the basis of the content on our website.
News
Bitcoin trades around $57,000, crypto market drops 6% ahead of Fed decision
-
Bitcoin fell in line with the broader cryptocurrency market, with ether and other altcoins also falling.
-
Financial markets were weighed down by risk-off sentiment ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision and press conference later in the day.
-
10x Research said it is targeting a price target of $52,000 to $55,000, anticipating further selling pressure.
Bitcoin {{BTC}} was trading around $57,700 during European morning trading on Wednesday after falling to its lowest level since late February, as the world’s largest cryptocurrency recorded its worst month since November 2022.
BTC has fallen about 6.3% over the past 24 hours, after breaking below the $60,000 support level late Tuesday, according to data from CoinDesk. The broader crypto market, as measured by the CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), lost nearly 9% before recovering part of its decline.
Cryptocurrencies have been hurt by risk-off sentiment in broader financial markets amid stagflation in the United States, following indications of slowing growth and persistent inflation that have dampened hopes of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The Federal Open Market Committee is due to deliver its latest rate decision later in the day.
Ether {{ETH}} fell about 5%, dropping below $3,000, while dogecoin {{DOGE}} led the decline among other major altcoins with a 9% drop. Solana {{SOL}} and Avalanche {{AVAX}} both lost about 6%.
Bitcoin plunged in April, posting its first monthly loss since August. The 16% drop is the worst since November 2022, when cryptocurrency exchange FTX imploded, but some analysts are warning of further declines in the immediate future.
10x Research, a digital asset research firm, said it sees selling pressure toward the $52,000 level due to outflows from U.S. cash exchange-traded funds, which have totaled $540 million since the Bitcoin halving on April 20. It estimates that the average entry price for U.S. Bitcoin ETF holders is $57,300, so this could prove to be a key support level.
The closer the bitcoin spot price is to this average entry price, the greater the likelihood of a new ETF unwind, 10x CEO Markus Thielen wrote Wednesday.
“There may have been a lot of ‘TradeFi’ tourists in crypto – pushing longs all the way to the halving – that period is now over,” he wrote. “We expect more unwinding as the average Bitcoin ETF buyer will be underwater when Bitcoin trades below $57,300. This will likely push prices down to our target levels and cause a -25% to -29% correction from the $73,000 high – hence our $52,000/$55,000 price target over the past three weeks.”
The story continues
UPDATE (May 1, 8:56 UTC): Price updates throughout the process.
UPDATE (May 1, 9:57 UTC): Price updates throughout the process.
UPDATE (May 1, 11:05 UTC): Adds analysis from 10x.
News
The Cryptocurrency Industry Is Getting Back on Its Feet, for Better or Worse
Hello from Austin, where thousands of crypto enthusiasts braved storms and scorching heat to attend Consensus. The industry’s largest and longest-running conference, which can sometimes feel like a religious revival, offers opportunities to chat and listen to leading names in crypto. And for the casual observer, Consensus offers a useful glimpse into the mood of an industry prone to wild swings in fortune.
Unsurprisingly, the mood is noticeably more positive than it was a year ago, when crowds were sparse and many attendees were quietly confiding that they were considering switching to AI. In practice, that means some of the more obnoxious elements are back, but not to the level of Consensus 2018 in New York, when charlatans parked Lamborghinis outside the event and the hallways were lined with booth girls and scammers pitching “ICOs in a box.”
This time around, Elon Musk’s Cybertrucks have replaced Lamborghinis as the vehicle of choice for marketers. One of the most notable publicity stunts was a startup that paid a poor guy to parade around in the Texas sun in a Jamie Dimon costume, wig, and mask, and then staged a mock assault on him by memecoin characters.
Outside the event was a giant “RFK for President” truck, while campaign staffers manned a booth instead — a reflection of both the election year and crypto’s willingness to latch onto any candidate, no matter how outlandish, who will talk about the industry. RFK himself is scheduled to address the conference on Thursday.
Excesses aside, the general sense of optimism was understandable. The cryptocurrency market has not only recovered from the wave of fraud that nearly sank it in 2022, it is riding a new wave of political legitimacy. This month, cryptocurrencies scored once-unthinkable political victories in Washington, D.C., and there is a sense that the industry has not only withstood the relentless regulatory assaults of SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, but is poised to defeat them.
And while cryptocurrency is still searching for its flagship application, the optimists I spoke with pointed to signs that it is (once again) upon us. Those signs include the rapid advancement of zero-knowledge proofs as well as the popularity of Coinbase’s Base blockchain and, perhaps most importantly, the large-scale arrival of traditional finance into the world of cryptocurrencies – a development that not only provides a major financial boost, but also a new element of stability and maturity that will, perhaps, tame the worst of crypto’s wilder side. Finally, this consensus marked the end of the Austin era as the conference, under new leadership, will be held in Toronto and Hong Kong in 2025.
The story continues
Jeff John Roberts
jeff.roberts@fortune.com
@jeffjohnroberts
This story was originally featured on Fortune.com
-
News6 months ago
Bitcoin soars above $63,000 as money flows into new US investment products
-
DeFi6 months ago
Ethena downplays danger of letting traders use USDe to back risky bets – DL News
-
News6 months ago
FRA Strengthens Cryptocurrency Practice with New Director Thomas Hyun
-
DeFi6 months ago
Zodialtd.com to revolutionize derivatives trading with WEB3 technology
-
Markets6 months ago
Bitcoin Fails to Recover from Dovish FOMC Meeting: Why?
-
DeFi8 months ago
👀 Lido prepares its response to the recovery boom
-
DeFi8 months ago
PancakeSwap integrates Zyfi for transparent, gas-free DeFi
-
Videos8 months ago
BlackRock and Wall Street ready to take Bitcoin directly to $200,000 – Anthony Scaramucci
-
Videos8 months ago
This is the exact and unique time to sell your crypto asset – Raoul Pal
-
DeFi8 months ago
🏴☠️ Pump.Fun operated by Insider Exploit
-
Videos8 months ago
“BlackRock HAS UNLEASHED a massive multi-trillion monster” – Lyn Alden and Eric Balchunas
-
Videos8 months ago
ONLY 2 WEEKS LEFT! Cryptocurrency Prices Are About to Go Crazy – Raoul Pal