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Bitcoin diverges from US stocks amid supply issues

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Bitcoin diverges from US stocks amid supply issues

Bitcoin (BTC) has undergone a significant shift in market behavior, diverging from the currently bullish U.S. stocks as it faces challenges in its attempt to break above the $63,000 price level.

According to a Bitfinex report shared with crypto.news, H1 2024 started with optimism for the market, leading to an all-time high for Bitcoin above $73,000. However, this enthusiasm faded mid-year, with Bitcoin struggling in June due to several headwinds. BTC is now down nearly 15% from its March peak.

According to analysts at Bitfinex, prevailing policies have significantly dampened Bitcoin’s volatility and hindered its upward momentum. Data from Santiment indicates a drastic drop in Bitcoin’s weekly volatility from 0.1306 in mid-March to a yearly low of 0.0198 in June.

BTC Price and Volatility – July 2 | Source: Santiment

Bitfinex analysts highlighted that long-term holders, who had paused their sales activities In early May, they resumed selling their assets. This resumption of sales, together with an excess of supply, continues to weigh heavily on the market.

On-chain metrics indicate that long-term holders are taking profits again, even at prices below the 2021 ATH of around $69,000. While miner liquidations have subsided, suggesting some market stabilization, the high levels of profit-taking by long-term holders make the short-term outlook for Bitcoin bearish.

One of the main factors contributing to oversupply is the potential for sale by Mt. Gox Depositors and the German government. Both entities have substantial holdings in Bitcoin and could choose to liquidate their holdings. This reality has further increased investor FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt).

In the broader macroeconomic environment, some signals could potentially benefit risk assets like Bitcoin, according to the report. The Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, which the Fed uses as a benchmark to gauge inflation, remained stable in May. Analysts added that this stability increases optimism about a potential rate cut in September.

Supporting this outlook, the latest third-quarter estimate for U.S. GDP reveals underlying weaknesses. This comes amid a gradual decline in consumer confidence.

Despite these potentially favorable economic conditions, Bitcoin did not benefit as expected. Instead, BTC decoupled from US stocks, which continued their upward trajectory. In June, Bitcoin fell by over 8%, while the SPX witnessed a 3.5% gain.

According to Bitfinex analysts, supply factors are not the only culprits behind this divergence. They point to speculative buying and news-induced liquidations. BTC is now more impacted by negative news due to the drop in interest in the spot market and recent negative net flows from investment products.

Despite a generally positive outlook For BTC in July, the asset is already down 0.18% this month following a 0.35% drop this morning. Bitcoin is trading at $62,675 at the time of writing, having erased the slight gains it made on the first day of the month.

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We are the editorial team of Financial Block, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on Financial Block, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Bitcoin

Big Tech Outperforms Bitcoin (BTC) as Trump Deal Weakens Token

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Big Tech Outperforms Bitcoin (BTC) as Trump Deal Weakens Token

Bitcoin has lost out on an asset rally fueled by positive comments from the Federal Reserve, while a tight US election race casts doubt on whether Donald Trump will get the chance to implement his pro-crypto agenda.

The digital asset fell 2.4% on Wednesday, following a Fed-fueled surge in an index of megacap tech stocks Magnificent Seven by one of the largest margins in 2024. The token retreated further on Thursday, changing hands at $63,750 as of 6:10 a.m. in London.

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‘This is huge’ — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues ‘incredible’ Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump

Financial Block Staff

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'This is huge' — Billionaire Mark Cuban issues 'incredible' Bitcoin and crypto prediction amid price slump

Bitcoin
Bitcoin
came back with a vengeance this year when former President Donald Trump Cryptocurrency boosts US presidential election in November with ‘revolutionary’ plan.

Subscribe now to Forbes CryptoAsset and Blockchain Consultant and “discover blockchain blockbusters poised to generate 1,000%+ gains” after the bitcoin halving earthquake!

The price of bitcoin has surged to more than its all-time high in recent months, surpassing $70,000 per bitcoin and triggering a wave of mega-optimistic predictions about the price of bitcointhough it fell again this week, falling below $65,000 after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady.

Now, as Elon Musk suddenly breaks his silence on bitcoin and cryptocurrenciesBillionaire investor Mark Cuban called a California plan to digitize 42 million car titles using blockchain an “incredible step forward” and “huge” for cryptocurrencies.

Sign up for free CryptoCodex nowA daily five-minute newsletter for traders, investors, and crypto curious people that will keep you up to date and ahead of the bitcoin and crypto bull market

ForbesElon Musk Suddenly Breaks His Silence On Bitcoin After Issuing Shocking Warning Of US Dollar “Doom” That Could Trigger Cryptocurrency Price BoomBy Billy Bambrough

Mark Cuban, famous Shark Tank investor and billionaire owner of the NBA team Dallas Mavericks, has… [+] called a cryptocurrency update “amazing” amid bitcoin’s price slump.

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The California Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV) has digitized 42 million car titles using blockchain, it was reported by Reuters, through technology company Oxhead Alpha on the Avalanche blockchain and designed to detect fraud and facilitate the securities transfer process.

“This is an incredible development for crypto,” Cuban, best known as an investor on TV’s Shark Tank and owner of the Dallas Mavericks NBA team, posted on X, joking that U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler could sue the state as part of his hostility toward cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.

“The reason this is huge for crypto is because people who hold the tokens will have an app with an Avalanche wallet,” Cuban said. “Tens of millions of Californians having and using a crypto wallet in the next five years, or however long it takes, normalizes the use of wallets and crypto.”

John Wu, president of Avalanche developer Ava Labs, told Reuters that California’s DMV is “creating a wallet that you can download on your phone.”

Sign up for CryptoCodex now—A free daily newsletter for the crypto-curious

ForbesCryptocurrencies Are Suddenly Bracing For A ‘Very Major’ U-Turn In China After Wild Price Swings For Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRPBy Billy Bambrough

Bitcoin’s price has rallied this year, triggering a wave of bullish bitcoin price predictions from… [+] people like billionaire Mark Cuban.

Forbes Digital Assets

Last month, Cuban predicted that if the US dollar falls as the global reserve currency, bitcoin could become “a global ‘safe haven’” and a “global currency.” potentially sending the price of bitcoin to a much higher level.

According to Cuban, bitcoin could become what its most ardent supporters “envision” — a means “of protecting our economies… This is already happening in countries facing hyperinflation.”

The price of bitcoin has skyrocketed over the past year, largely due to the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, leading a bitcoin attack on Wall Street.

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Bitcoin (BTC) miner Riot Platforms (RIOT)’s second-quarter loss widens to $84.4 million as costs rise

Financial Block Staff

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Bitcoin Mining Profitability Surges in June as Market Adjusts for Halving: Jefferies

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CoinDesk is a awarded media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists follow a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk has been acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Optimistica regulated digital asset exchange. The Bullish Group is majority owned by Block.one; both companies have interests CoinDesk has a portfolio of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial board to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.

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Why Trump Wants the US Government to Have a “National Stockpile” of Bitcoin

Financial Block Staff

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Why Trump Wants the US Government to Have a “National Stockpile” of Bitcoin

At a national bitcoin conference in Nashville, Donald Trump finally laid out some of his crypto policy proposals, including a long-awaited part of his plan — building a strategic bitcoin reserve. CNN’s Jon Sarlin explains what it is and why the crypto industry wants it.

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